In Mexico and Japan, warning systems that send out alerts for seismic events have been in place for years, but a similar setup for California has been long-delayed. Finally, on Thursday the first statewide Earthquake Early Warning System will go online. Until now, large-scale alerts have only been available in LA County, where they haven’t been triggered yet.
As the LA Times reports, Thursday is the 30th anniversary of the Loma Prieta earthquake, where energy from a tremor under the Santa Cruz mountains took up to 35 seconds to reach the northern edge of San Francisco. While the ShakeAlert system California will rely on can’t predict earthquakes, it can feel them thanks to monitoring stations and send out messages using the MyShake app or Wireless Emergency Alerts that can give people time to prepare before the quake’s energy reaches them.
Just this week there was a 4.5 earthquake in the Bay Area, and a 4.7 earthquake in central California. The SFGate quotes UC Berkeley Seismological Laboratory director Richard Allen as saying that median times from detection to alerts popping up on test phones was between 2.1 seconds and 1.6 seconds.
After a pair of quakes in July didn’t result in LA users getting notified, officials have lowered the bar for messages to go out whenever there’s at least a magnitude 4.5 and Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) of 3, which the USGS says can feel similar to a passing truck.